AvalonBay Communities Valuation

AVB Stock  USD 175.32  2.35  1.32%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. AvalonBay Communities shows a prevailing Real Value of $176.92 per share. The current price of the firm is $175.32. Our model approximates the value of AvalonBay Communities from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.38 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0975 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AvalonBay Communities' valuation include:
Price Book
2.1073
Enterprise Value
33.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.6479
Price Sales
8.1428
Forward PE
33.7838
Fairly Valued
Today
175.32
Please note that AvalonBay Communities' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AvalonBay Communities is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AvalonBay Communities' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since AvalonBay Communities is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AvalonBay Stock. However, AvalonBay Communities' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  175.32 Real  176.92 Target  200.43 Hype  175.32 Naive  174.16
The real value of AvalonBay Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of AvalonBay Communities Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on AvalonBay Communities' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of AvalonBay Communities' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
157.79
Downside
176.92
Real Value
178.05
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AvalonBay Communities helps investors to forecast how AvalonBay stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AvalonBay Communities more accurately as focusing exclusively on AvalonBay Communities' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
1.251.271.28
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
174.19175.32176.45
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
5.555.775.98
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
182.39200.43222.47
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AvalonBay Communities' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AvalonBay Communities' closest peers. If more than one evaluation category is relevant for AvalonBay Communities we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

AvalonBay Communities Cash

118.62 Million

AvalonBay Revenue by Product

AvalonBay Communities Total Value Analysis

AvalonBay Communities is presently anticipated to have company total value of 33.93 B with market capitalization of 24.96 B, debt of 8.25 B, and cash on hands of 108.58 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the AvalonBay Communities fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
33.93 B
24.96 B
8.25 B
108.58 M

AvalonBay Communities Investor Information

About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AvalonBay Communities was presently reported as 84.41. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.2. AvalonBay Communities last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 8:9 split on the 7th of January 2013. Based on the key indicators related to AvalonBay Communities' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, AvalonBay Communities is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.540.36
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.9 B1.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.1 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

AvalonBay Communities Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AvalonBay Communities has an asset utilization ratio of 13.87 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.14 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AvalonBay Communities is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AvalonBay Communities Profitability Analysis

Based on AvalonBay Communities' profitability indicators, AvalonBay Communities may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess AvalonBay Communities' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1994-03-31
Previous Quarter
268.7 M
Current Value
381.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
112.3 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At present, AvalonBay Communities' Gross Profit is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Profit Margin is expected to grow to 0.54, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.28.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.510.57
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.290.33
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin0.540.36
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.280.33
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.03380.0464
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.0650.0815
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
For AvalonBay Communities profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AvalonBay Communities to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AvalonBay Communities utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AvalonBay Communities's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AvalonBay Communities over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AvalonBay Communities Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AvalonBay Communities is estimated to be 1.2674 with future projections ranging from a low of 1.25 to a high of 1.2849. AvalonBay Communities' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 8.2. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for AvalonBay Communities is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AvalonBay Communities is projected to generate 1.2674 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. AvalonBay Communities earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AvalonBay Communities EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AvalonBay Communities' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AvalonBay Communities, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AvalonBay Communities Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AvalonBay Communities' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AvalonBay Communities is estimated to be 1.2674 with the future projection ranging from a low of 1.25 to a high of 1.2849. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AvalonBay Communities is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
1.25
Lowest
Expected EPS
1.2674
1.28
Highest

AvalonBay Communities Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AvalonBay Communities' value are higher than the current market price of the AvalonBay Communities stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AvalonBay Communities is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AvalonBay Communities' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
2378.58%
0.0
1.2674
8.2

AvalonBay Communities Ownership Allocation

AvalonBay Communities holds a total of 141.59 Million outstanding shares. The majority of AvalonBay Communities outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AvalonBay Communities to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AvalonBay Communities. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AvalonBay Communities as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on November 24, 2025, Representative Lisa McClain of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of AvalonBay Communities's common stock.

AvalonBay Communities Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.91 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.08 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.94 B.

AvalonBay Communities Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates AvalonBay Communities' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in AvalonBay Communities and how it compares across the competition.

About AvalonBay Communities Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines AvalonBay Communities' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AvalonBay Communities. We calculate exposure to AvalonBay Communities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AvalonBay Communities's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit2.1 B2.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.33  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.36  0.54 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.29 
Gross Profit Margin 0.57  0.51 
AvalonBay Communities' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AvalonBay Communities' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AvalonBay Communities can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AvalonBay Communities represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AvalonBay, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AvalonBay Communities Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At present, AvalonBay Communities' Dividend Yield is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Dividend Payout Ratio is expected to grow to 1.11, whereas Dividends Paid is projected to grow to (1.1 B). . At present, AvalonBay Communities' Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 585.9 M, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 21.33.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-1.1 B-1.1 B
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.02  1.11 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.25  1.31 
There are various types of dividends AvalonBay Communities can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AvalonBay shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from AvalonBay Communities directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AvalonBay pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AvalonBay Communities by the value of the dividends paid out.

AvalonBay Communities Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.024
Forward Price Earnings33.7838

AvalonBay Communities Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of AvalonBay Communities and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value AvalonBay we look at many different elements of the entity such as AvalonBay's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AvalonBay Communities, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AvalonBay Communities' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AvalonBay Communities' worth.

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When running AvalonBay Communities' price analysis, check to measure AvalonBay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AvalonBay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of AvalonBay Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AvalonBay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AvalonBay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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